La Liga matchday 38 predictions: top picks today include Alaves-R. Vallecano: Draw or Alaves Win, Betis-Levante: Maximum 3 Goals and Celta Vigo-Siviglia: Draw or Celta Vigo Win. For each fixture, 4 picks ranked by probability — statistical model plus editorial review by Fil — with live 1X2, Over/Under and BTTS odds, alongside a live table. 78.2% accuracy on the top pick across 367 predictions this season.
For matchday 38 of La Liga we build 3 ready-made accumulators across the analysed matches: the Easy ticket combines the most likely picks for safer odds, the Balanced ticket trades risk for return, the Hard ticket targets bigger odds with riskier selections. Updated on May 25, 2026.
For matchday 38 of La Liga, you get 10 matches with predictions on 1X2, Over/Under and BTTS markets. Each analysis combines Fil's editorial work with the statistical algorithm. Data updated on May 25, 2026.
Each match includes 4 picks from Fil, from #1 as the safest to #4 as the riskiest, together with odds, probabilities, team form, the last 5 rounds when available and links to deeper match analysis.
Use the tool to choose the matches to add to your bet slip and immediately see total odds, number of picks and risk level. You can combine Fil's predictions with the algorithm's suggestions, add or remove picks and find the best mix between safer choices and higher odds.
Create bet slip La LigaUpdated standings, average goals and key statistical trends for La Liga teams.
The table below is updated with points, goals scored and conceded, and the last 5 results for each team. Figures are refreshed after every completed match.
| Pos | Team | MP | Pts | Form |
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| 1 | Barcellona | 38 | 94 |
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| 2 | R. Madrid | 38 | 86 |
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| 3 | Villarreal | 38 | 72 |
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| 4 | A.Madrid | 38 | 69 |
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| 5 | Betis | 38 | 60 |
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| 6 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 54 |
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| 7 | Getafe | 38 | 51 |
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| 8 | R. Vallecano | 38 | 50 |
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| 9 | Valencia | 38 | 49 |
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| 10 | R. Sociedad | 38 | 46 |
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| 11 | Espanyol | 38 | 46 |
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| 12 | A.Bilbao | 38 | 45 |
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| 13 | Siviglia | 38 | 43 |
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| 14 | Alaves | 38 | 43 |
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| 15 | Elche | 38 | 43 |
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| 16 | Levante | 38 | 42 |
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| 17 | Osasuna | 38 | 42 |
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| 18 | Maiorca | 38 | 42 |
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| 19 | Girona | 38 | 41 |
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| 20 | R. Oviedo | 38 | 29 |
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The statistics summarise the most relevant figures from the current season: total goals, average per match, top-scoring teams and home/away performance. A quick overview before choosing your predictions.
Here you will find the results from all previous matchdays with the outcome of each prediction. The data lets you verify the reliability of our analysis over time.
| Match | Res. | #1 | #2 | #3 | #4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.Bilbao - Celta Vigo | 1-1 | 2 | 12 | Un 3.5 | No Gol |
| A.Madrid - Girona | 1-0 | 1 | 1X | Un 3.5 | No Gol |
| Elche - Getafe | 1-0 | 1 | 12 | Un 3.5 | No Gol |
| Levante - Maiorca | 2-0 | 1 | 12 | Un 3.5 | Gol |
| Osasuna - Espanyol | 1-2 | 1 | 12 | Un 3.5 | Gol |
| R. Oviedo - Alaves | 0-1 | 2 | 12 | Un 3.5 | No Gol |
| R. Sociedad - Valencia | 3-4 | X | X2 | Un 3.5 | Gol |
| Siviglia - R. Madrid | 0-1 | 2 | 12 | Ov 1.5 | No Gol |
| R. Vallecano - Villarreal | 2-0 | X | 1X | Un 3.5 | No Gol |
| Barcellona - Betis | 3-1 | 1 | 12 | Un 3.5 | No Gol |
| Match | Res. | #1 | #2 | #3 | #4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.Bilbao - Celta Vigo | 1-1 | 2 | 12 | Un 3.5 | No Gol |
| A.Madrid - Girona | 1-0 | 1 | 1X | Un 3.5 | No Gol |
| Elche - Getafe | 1-0 | 1 | 12 | Un 3.5 | No Gol |
| Levante - Maiorca | 2-0 | 1 | 12 | Un 3.5 | Gol |
| Osasuna - Espanyol | 1-2 | 1 | 12 | Un 3.5 | Gol |
| R. Oviedo - Alaves | 0-1 | 2 | 12 | Un 3.5 | No Gol |
| R. Sociedad - Valencia | 3-4 | X | X2 | Un 3.5 | Gol |
| Siviglia - R. Madrid | 0-1 | 2 | 12 | Ov 1.5 | No Gol |
| R. Vallecano - Villarreal | 2-0 | X | 1X | Un 3.5 | No Gol |
| Barcellona - Betis | 3-1 | 1 | 12 | Un 3.5 | No Gol |
SuperPronostici.it predictions are tracked across 367 La Liga predictions: prediction #1 is correct 78.2% of the time, #2 hits 69.2%. Our algorithms cross recent form, head-to-head records, home/away performance and real-time odds movements.
By the SuperPronostici.it editorial team — data-driven analysis since 2018
Our La Liga predictions are built on a multi-layer analysis: recent form, head-to-head records, home and away performance, injury reports and squad rotation patterns. With 10 matches per matchday across 20 clubs, there are plenty of opportunities to spot market inefficiencies. We focus on identifying value in the odds rather than chasing certainty — because in football, no outcome is guaranteed.
We cover all major markets: 1X2 (match result), Over/Under goals, Both Teams to Score, double chance and Asian handicap. La Liga offers a wide tactical spectrum — from high-pressing, goal-heavy sides to defensively disciplined teams — so market selection is always tailored to the specific fixture. El Clásico and Madrid derbies, for example, often produce value in alternative markets rather than the straight result.
Dropping odds occur when bookmakers significantly lower a price, often driven by sharp money from professional bettors or syndicates. For La Liga fixtures, we monitor these movements in real time: a sudden drop on a team's odds can indicate leaked team news, injury updates or informed money entering the market. Combined with our statistical analysis, dropping odds help us validate — or challenge — our initial predictions before kick-off.
Predictions are typically published 24–48 hours before kick-off for each La Liga matchday. If significant information emerges — such as a press conference update, a surprise injury or a sharp odds movement — we revise the analysis accordingly. We recommend checking the page on the morning of the match for the most up-to-date assessment before placing any bets.
Real Madrid and Barcelona generate enormous betting volume, which can inflate or compress odds in ways that don't always reflect true probabilities. For these fixtures, we often look beyond the 1X2 market — exploring Both Teams to Score, correct score or handicap lines where public bias has less influence. For mid-table and lower-ranked La Liga sides, the match result market frequently offers better value.
No. Predictions are informed opinions based on data and probability — no one can guarantee the outcome of a football match. Our goal is to give you a well-reasoned perspective that supports smarter betting decisions. Value betting is a long-term strategy: profitability comes from consistent edge over many bets, not from any single result. Always bet responsibly and within your personal limits.
